Friday, June 3, 2011

Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?

Almost all of the polls suggest Obama is leading with convincing margins. After more than two decades, is not America changed yet?Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?polls mean nothing. I haven't been polled, neither has anyone I know. Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?America has changed. See NY Times article below. You apparently have not changed and are in denial.Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?I hope it is changing for the better with a competent new president named Obama!Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?Let's hope so. (That America is lying)Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?I don't get why someone would lie to a pollster. I think the Bradley effect is a phantom. Probably just a matter of poor sampling of the poll or a failure to take enough political races into account.



I mean, you'd have to look at ever race in which an African American was involved to draw any real conclusion. I always see them talking about 3 or 4 different political races that support their conclusion. And with one, Dinkins in NYC, the first time his poll numbers were indeed higher than his actual votes but at his re-election vs Giuliani, the polls were spot on, so that kind of nullifies the whole thing. Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?Yes, unfortunately America is changing to a socialist state. We can argue about the pace but it seems to be accelerating. To answer your first question, the so-called %26quot;Bradley effect%26quot; was circa 1982 and, in fact, polls have shown that Obama's race has actually helped him by 3%, not hurt him. The traditional Bradley effect is estimated at about 2.5% in states that have an 8% or less black population. That is, if you have a smaller black population, there is more %26quot;Bradley effect%26quot;.



Now, one thing to keep in mind is that we don't know how polling has changed since 1982. Are they sampling more blacks this time around? Blacks seem to be voting in much larger numbers for Obama than they would a traditional Democrat. Thus, two observations can be monitored:



1. Which states will individual %26quot;bradley effect%26quot; signs be most likely? If history is any guide, as I mentioned previously it will show up in states with %26lt; 8% black population (e.g. New Hampshire).



2. If Obama's lead is only 2.5 to 3.5% nationally, all bets are off - we are likely to have a LONG night on November 4th.



Personally, I don't want to leave it to any %26quot;bradley effect%26quot; to find out if we are going to have high-tax socialism under Obama; people had better take the time to read the articles below and share them with friends and family.Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?Bradley was only winning by 1-2 percent in the week before the California election. So to imply that America was/is racist because the polls were wrong (for the millionth time) is an extreme accusation.



Secondly, Republicans are going to vote for the republican candidate and admit to it in the polls. So if anyone is %26quot;lying%26quot; it is the democrats. Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?I think there will be a reverse bradley effect. i think those polls are not accounting for early voting either. race will be a factor, just not a HUGE one. Obama has compensated for the %26quot;bubba%26quot; vote.Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?The Bradley effect has been considered to be largely overrated. Looks like America changed, just not in the direction you think.Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?Poll's are silly toy's politicians play with to stroke there ego.Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect? :) you mean when dems lead in the polls and lose the elections?

from your mouth to gods ear!!!Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?I don't trust any of these polls. I'll believe it when it happens.Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?The Bradley election was over 25 years ago. I think most of those raciest blankity blanks are dead and gone. I think it will be a factor but only one or two points.Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?That would just prove the the world how pathetic we really are.



I think Obama will win. He is so much better than mccain in terms of intelligence, analytical ability, staying calm, understanding things. And Biden is infinitely better than Palin who is a disgrace to the republican ticket. Having her as vp will be as bad as having gw for president. Humiliating for the country.Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?You do realize the %26quot;Bradley Effect%26quot; was strictly California and wasn't a National election, don't you? It also happened over 20 years ago...Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?polls mean nothing, all those people saying they are voting for Obama is not all those people actually voting for Obama. Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?I'll get back to ya in about a month, k?Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?It's possible, but I think if it were really an issue, it would have been an issue during the primaries.Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?Mabye America will demonstrate it's intelligence by not voting for a socialist just because Matt Damon told them to?Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?Bradlley effect happened 25 yrs ago

This is 2008

Obama will win the electionIs America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?It's quite possible. Things haven't changed that much.Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?Times have changed for most voters. Else Obama would not have been nominated.Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?I think so. Polls are skewed and dogs pee on them.Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?Another dirty trick from the Republicans to make people lie with them.Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?

The Bradley election was in 82 And 86. Some time ago, doncha think?Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?don't trust the pollsIs America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?Voting for Obama is the %26quot;popular%26quot; thing to do, but when people step behind the curtain they will vote their true feelings.



There has been speculation the bradley effect will be as high as 15% this election because of a colored candidate.Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?race means nothing to me I come from a diverse culture I vote for the man and issues...Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?Possibly.



I don't think American's trust Barry and it has NOTHING to do with his skin color, but his very liberal and radical policies.Is America lying, going to demonstrate another Bradley Effect?I think Obama's going to win......I've even toyed with the idea of voting for him....



but as for the Bradley effect and racism as it pertains to this election..its a wash. Both Obamas admit this. The press needs to jump off the racism bandwagon and start reporting the news...and not the %26quot;total secret might possibly not even be happening%26quot; news.



I mean COME ON